Yes, theyre not describing the stat clearly. My avg is 3.70 over 53 correct days (out of 55) which makes me feel good I'm slightly better than US avg. The actual chance of getting it right first time is about 1 in 2315 so it should be about 0.05%. This no doubt is a small fraction of players. ._38lwnrIpIyqxDfAF1iwhcV{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-widgetColors-lineColor);border:none;height:1px;margin:16px 0}._37coyt0h8ryIQubA7RHmUc{margin-top:12px;padding-top:12px}._2XJvPvYIEYtcS4ORsDXwa3,._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE,.icon._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE{border-radius:100%;box-sizing:border-box;-ms-flex:none;flex:none;margin-right:8px}._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE,.icon._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE{background-position:50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:100%;height:54px;width:54px;font-size:54px;line-height:54px}._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4,.icon._2Vkdik1Q8k0lBEhhA_lRKE._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4{filter:blur()}.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M,.icon.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M{border-radius:100%;box-sizing:border-box;-ms-flex:none;flex:none;margin-right:8px;background-position:50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:100%;height:36px;width:36px}.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4,.icon.eGjjbHtkgFc-SYka3LM3M._1uo2TG25LvAJS3bl-u72J4{filter:blur()}._3nzVPnRRnrls4DOXO_I0fn{margin:auto 0 auto auto;padding-top:10px;vertical-align:middle}._3nzVPnRRnrls4DOXO_I0fn ._1LAmcxBaaqShJsi8RNT-Vp i{color:unset}._2bWoGvMqVhMWwhp4Pgt4LP{margin:16px 0;font-size:12px;font-weight:400;line-height:16px}.icon.tWeTbHFf02PguTEonwJD0{margin-right:4px;vertical-align:top}._2AbGMsrZJPHrLm9e-oyW1E{width:180px;text-align:center}.icon._1cB7-TWJtfCxXAqqeyVb2q{cursor:pointer;margin-left:6px;height:14px;fill:#dadada;font-size:12px;vertical-align:middle}.hpxKmfWP2ZiwdKaWpefMn{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-active);background-size:cover;background-image:var(--newCommunityTheme-banner-backgroundImage);background-position-y:center;background-position-x:center;background-repeat:no-repeat;border-radius:3px 3px 0 0;height:34px;margin:-12px -12px 10px}._20Kb6TX_CdnePoT8iEsls6{-ms-flex-align:center;align-items:center;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;margin-bottom:8px}._20Kb6TX_CdnePoT8iEsls6>*{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle}.t9oUK2WY0d28lhLAh3N5q{margin-top:-23px}._2KqgQ5WzoQRJqjjoznu22o{display:inline-block;-ms-flex-negative:0;flex-shrink:0;position:relative}._2D7eYuDY6cYGtybECmsxvE{-ms-flex:1 1 auto;flex:1 1 auto;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}._2D7eYuDY6cYGtybECmsxvE:hover{text-decoration:underline}._19bCWnxeTjqzBElWZfIlJb{font-size:16px;font-weight:500;line-height:20px;display:inline-block}._2TC7AdkcuxFIFKRO_VWis8{margin-left:10px;margin-top:30px}._2TC7AdkcuxFIFKRO_VWis8._35WVFxUni5zeFkPk7O4iiB{margin-top:35px}._1LAmcxBaaqShJsi8RNT-Vp{padding:0 2px 0 4px;vertical-align:middle}._2BY2-wxSbNFYqAy98jWyTC{margin-top:10px}._3sGbDVmLJd_8OV8Kfl7dVv{font-family:Noto Sans,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:400;line-height:21px;margin-top:8px;word-wrap:break-word}._1qiHDKK74j6hUNxM0p9ZIp{margin-top:12px}.Jy6FIGP1NvWbVjQZN7FHA,._326PJFFRv8chYfOlaEYmGt,._1eMniuqQCoYf3kOpyx83Jj,._1cDoUuVvel5B1n5wa3K507{-ms-flex-pack:center;justify-content:center;margin-top:12px;width:100%}._1eMniuqQCoYf3kOpyx83Jj{margin-bottom:8px}._2_w8DCFR-DCxgxlP1SGNq5{margin-right:4px;vertical-align:middle}._1aS-wQ7rpbcxKT0d5kjrbh{border-radius:4px;display:inline-block;padding:4px}._2cn386lOe1A_DTmBUA-qSM{border-top:1px solid var(--newCommunityTheme-widgetColors-lineColor);margin-top:10px}._2Zdkj7cQEO3zSGHGK2XnZv{display:inline-block}.wzFxUZxKK8HkWiEhs0tyE{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;line-height:16px;color:var(--newCommunityTheme-button);cursor:pointer;text-align:left;margin-top:2px}._3R24jLERJTaoRbM_vYd9v0._3R24jLERJTaoRbM_vYd9v0._3R24jLERJTaoRbM_vYd9v0{display:none}.yobE-ux_T1smVDcFMMKFv{font-size:16px;font-weight:500;line-height:20px}._1vPW2g721nsu89X6ojahiX{margin-top:12px}._pTJqhLm_UAXS5SZtLPKd{text-transform:none} So someone hitting it in 2 ten out of 100 times is not at all odd. Average 4.20 after 49 games including 3 fails. Victory in two tries This is off-topic to your source code comment. My Wordle2 stats: My take on calculating the average on all games played would be the weighted win average divided by your win percentage (i.e if weighted win is 3.90 and your win % is 96%, it would be 3.9 divided by .96, or 4.06). This approach suffers from bias of exclusion. How about in place of the useless Streak stats which takes TWO places on the stat line. I have a sneaking suspicion that Josh took a list of every 5 letter word from a standard dictionary and hand picked the ones he was going to include as those that he recognised and didnt want to exclude for the above reasons, so that you are effectively matching your vocabulary against his. If you take an interest in wordle its also pretty hard to avoid subtle hints theres a strong argument for doing it first thing on waking before talking to anyone else or checking your phone if you want your results to be wholly unbiassed. But streak requires **uninterrupted days of play**, so the actual definition of streak is Number of consecutive wins without missing any days.. Getting it on the second attempt is much harder to calculate the odds for but on average people with a vocabulary of words similar to the wordle dictionary are going to get it more often than 1/2314 (having eliminated one word with the first guess) because in many cases their first guess will have markedly reduced the list of possibles. The same source tells me that the NYT deleted 30 words from the original solution list thus making it slightly easier to get a first guess right. Depending on how many you have done you can analyse whether your average is significantly better than the average of the large number of reported scores, I suspect that most average around 4 and less than 3.5 probably puts you in the top 10% and more than 4.5 in the bottom 10%. Since there are 2,315 possible target words in Wordle, the probability that you will guess the target in exactly one try is 1/2315 = 0.000432. This calculator will help you figure out Wordle (also Dordle, Quordle, Absurdle, Hello Wordl, or Seven Wordles) puzzles. Afterwards, this site will tell you your Wordle average score. Multiply each row by the number of times you got that score, then add them together and divide that total by number of days solved: ((1 x a) + (2 x b) + (3 x c) + (4 x d) + (5 x e) + (6 x f)) /n, Edit: changed number of days played to number of days solved. (Just the country and city). I was quite chuffed when todays solution was my name! That being said, I do the Jumble in under a minute! If Im forced to follow my strategy through two words, Ive covered the top 6 consonants and top 4 vowels in the English language. when I think my first guess has narrowed the word down to three (or more) possible solutions, but by guessing one of the solutions, I can reduce the remaining solution set to one To help guide the choice of the next guess the simulator scores the compatible words based on their likely suitability. There is no other predictability to the solutions, they are just a predetermined random word list and there are no hidden rules such as its not going to start with c two days in a row. U ER on second guess. The mean difficulty scores are not normally distributed and you would have to apply some non-parametric statistics to a larger data sample I think to arrive at a proper estimate. Skipping games does not affect your percentage. Dumps or similar should have been your next guess. Pooling a series of 30 or so of these scores gives an average difficulty score of 4.15 tries. I say roughly in those figures because any individuals vocabulary of 5 letter words will not exactly match the wordle dictionary, which in turn, is not a complete list of every 5 letter word known to English. the approach that takes the least brain power without losing (this favours fixing the operning two words rather than just one) The average (of average scores) seems to be around 3.8 (see: sounds about right). Back in April Jon referenced 2309 potential solutions and 12,972 acceptable words to seek those solutions. Without looking at statistics, I assume 6-letter words would be easier, and 4-letter words slightly harder than 5-letter words. Same me, very different results. All the data you glean from Wordle statistics is related to your own progress and streak in the game (as a unit). It pays to be retired. Wordle is not a team sport as it is an opportunity to share a pastime with friends on a level playing field. Im back to 100% (even though Im not technically). In fact, it doesn't matter which of the 2,315 words in the dictionary you choose to use as your initial guess since the probability of success is always 1/2315. The quickest way to track how many attempts you have been taking to solve Wordles is by checking the Guess Distribution numbers on your Wordle statistics. Wordle was created by U.S.-based British software . My long run average is at 3.90 but I know my regular starting word is not the best possible choice Im just waiting for it to come up as the word of the day. My guess is the real average is 4-5, rather than 3-4 as shown here. First try=no skill only luck. I dont cheat and never bailed out of a game in order to avoid a loss. ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{background-color:#fff;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(0,0,0,.1),0 2px 3px 0 rgba(0,0,0,.2);transition:left .15s linear;border-radius:57%;width:57%}._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS:after{content:"";padding-top:100%;display:block}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2{-ms-flex-align:center;align-items:center;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;-ms-flex-pack:start;justify-content:flex-start;background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-navIconFaded10);border:2px solid transparent;border-radius:100px;cursor:pointer;position:relative;width:35px;transition:border-color .15s linear,background-color .15s linear}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3kUvbpMbR21zJBboDdBH7D{background-color:var(--newRedditTheme-navIconFaded10)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3kUvbpMbR21zJBboDdBH7D._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI{background-color:var(--newRedditTheme-active)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3kUvbpMbR21zJBboDdBH7D._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z{background-color:var(--newRedditTheme-buttonAlpha10)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1asGWL2_XadHoBuUlNArOq{border-width:2.25px;height:24px;width:37.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1asGWL2_XadHoBuUlNArOq ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:19.5px;width:19.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1hku5xiXsbqzLmszstPyR3{border-width:3px;height:32px;width:50px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1hku5xiXsbqzLmszstPyR3 ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:26px;width:26px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._10hZCcuqkss2sf5UbBMCSD{border-width:3.75px;height:40px;width:62.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._10hZCcuqkss2sf5UbBMCSD ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:32.5px;width:32.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1fCdbQCDv6tiX242k80-LO{border-width:4.5px;height:48px;width:75px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1fCdbQCDv6tiX242k80-LO ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:39px;width:39px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._2Jp5Pv4tgpAsTcnUzTsXgO{border-width:5.25px;height:56px;width:87.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._2Jp5Pv4tgpAsTcnUzTsXgO ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:45.5px;width:45.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI{-ms-flex-pack:end;justify-content:flex-end;background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-active)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z{cursor:default}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{box-shadow:none}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-buttonAlpha10)} Other than that, I dont know how to value games lost. I just havent got around to finding the time to write the computer code to calculate it. For example, todays word was trash, and it took me three guesses. So that game wasnt played so your streak goes back to 0 but you have still scored 100% on the games played. For example, suppose we want an average of 24,55, 17, 87 and 100.Simply find the sum of the numbers: 24 + 55 + 17 + 87 + 100 = 283 and divide by 5to get 56.6.A simple problem such as this one can be done by hand without too much trouble, but for more complex numbers involving many . Use the simple form below to calculate your Wordle average. [I might have previously argued stave is the least common among the 4, so choose that last. It was pointed out to me that if you didnt care about your consecutive streak, that you could let a game lapse if you were faced with a dicey 6th 50/50 guess or worse. My scores are similar to the one you saw Ive played 27 times, solved it in 2 guesses 4 times, in 3 guesses 9 more times. to help you solve WORDLE. You dont need to test each possibility. Divide the sum of grades including hours (1,828) by the total number of hours (642). Some words are on that second list because they are excessively obscure (vinic) and others because they are swear words I think. With that data, I reviewed every letter permutation and came up with 3 possible solutions: 1 skateboard trick that youd only know if you skateboarded or did crossword puzzles; one noun that is nearly always used as a 6-letter plural; and finally a vegetable. You will also notice that less people post their scores on the harder games. Calculations are made with all subjects that have a grade in your diploma/certificate. This equates to your total attempts A, divided by the total games played N : Average = A/N. I like that proposal. On average, Canadians need 3.90 guesses to get the correct answer, compared to 3.92 guesses for Americans. That cannot be hidden or skewed in any way. My guess is the actual stats are more like 0%, 1%, 12%, 30%, 40% 12%, not discovered 4%. The second time I got lucky with 3 greens on the first round, I went for a different strategy, by first abandoning the 3 correct letters and trying to find words with up to 4 letters of the potential missing letters, e.g P, H, M, L, T, D, V, G, R,C, , e.g. If, on the other hand, you're simply trying to win within the allotted six guesses, the top three words to play are "adept," "clamp" and "plaid.". Related: Wordle: 5-Letter Words three or four Vowels. Individuals who guess the word correctly are likely to post about it and even then, the likelihood of share increases with their perception of how well they did guessing. How to Calculate your Average Wordle Score Use the simple form below to calculate your Wordle average. Of course, this means using more guesses, but there is also skill in being to do it quickly, athinkjng about the letters you have uncovered, whilst typing in another word. Focusing more, rethinking my starter words, is actually bringing that number down to todays average. I aver that Wordle 4-Letter would be MORE DIFFICULT than 5-Letter. In hard mode, youre simply guessing, no real strategy required, and have a 1-in-4 chance of losing. Its only/mostly when you get to the 3rd try that skill plays a significant role. Im also finding its harder to solve in three attempts; was fighting to stay under a 3.7 average, now at 3.72 and feeling like Ill never see a 3.69 again. 4 tries 17 Anybody who gets it in 1 or 2 guesses is simply, lucky. Savemywordle.com will save it automatically for you. Words ending in e also seem to be tougher I think because there are so many of them hence shake a few days ago, you could have sha_e and it could still be shade/shake/shale/shame/shape/share/shave so anyone who started with any of those words other than shake still had a 1/6 chance of failing despite having 4 correct letters on a first guess, Update on that last comment. I changed (based on an analysis I read) to Cones and Trial and averaged 3.7 (with 47% 3s and 37% 4s). The Aim could be: My average using Hard Mode (23 of those games) is 3.43. Only the first guess is amenable to this sort of classical probability calculation unfortunately. It is somewhere to run a rudimentary breakdown. Of course all the numbers on wordlestats will be biassed by the tendency for people to selectively post their best results, as noted by several people here. One could check that these observations are correct by looking through the solution list but Im still managing to resist the temptation to do that even though I have a saved copy of the source code. .c_dVyWK3BXRxSN3ULLJ_t{border-radius:4px 4px 0 0;height:34px;left:0;position:absolute;right:0;top:0}._1OQL3FCA9BfgI57ghHHgV3{-ms-flex-align:center;align-items:center;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;-ms-flex-pack:start;justify-content:flex-start;margin-top:32px}._1OQL3FCA9BfgI57ghHHgV3 ._33jgwegeMTJ-FJaaHMeOjV{border-radius:9001px;height:32px;width:32px}._1OQL3FCA9BfgI57ghHHgV3 ._1wQQNkVR4qNpQCzA19X4B6{height:16px;margin-left:8px;width:200px}._39IvqNe6cqNVXcMFxFWFxx{display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;margin:12px 0}._39IvqNe6cqNVXcMFxFWFxx ._29TSdL_ZMpyzfQ_bfdcBSc{-ms-flex:1;flex:1}._39IvqNe6cqNVXcMFxFWFxx .JEV9fXVlt_7DgH-zLepBH{height:18px;width:50px}._39IvqNe6cqNVXcMFxFWFxx ._3YCOmnWpGeRBW_Psd5WMPR{height:12px;margin-top:4px;width:60px}._2iO5zt81CSiYhWRF9WylyN{height:18px;margin-bottom:4px}._2iO5zt81CSiYhWRF9WylyN._2E9u5XvlGwlpnzki78vasG{width:230px}._2iO5zt81CSiYhWRF9WylyN.fDElwzn43eJToKzSCkejE{width:100%}._2iO5zt81CSiYhWRF9WylyN._2kNB7LAYYqYdyS85f8pqfi{width:250px}._2iO5zt81CSiYhWRF9WylyN._1XmngqAPKZO_1lDBwcQrR7{width:120px}._3XbVvl-zJDbcDeEdSgxV4_{border-radius:4px;height:32px;margin-top:16px;width:100%}._2hgXdc8jVQaXYAXvnqEyED{animation:_3XkHjK4wMgxtjzC1TvoXrb 1.5s ease infinite;background:linear-gradient(90deg,var(--newCommunityTheme-field),var(--newCommunityTheme-inactive),var(--newCommunityTheme-field));background-size:200%}._1KWSZXqSM_BLhBzkPyJFGR{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-widgetColors-sidebarWidgetBackgroundColor);border-radius:4px;padding:12px;position:relative;width:auto} Ive changed my mind slightly about the odds of getting a hole in one. For example choosing two starter words to cover all the commonest vowels and consonants and using the same two every day will distinctly reduce your chances of a 2 solution, reducing it to zero once the second word has appeared as a solution. The times when Ive got it in two are: Probably true, and we dont know quite how Josh compiled the solution list but you soon start to learn by experience that there are probably no plurals of 4 letter words (boots) and no rude words (penis). Its official. THANK YOU! Useful, however very wrong at one point. Then divide that by total number of guesses: 1100. Unless a fail is weighted heavier than a win. Enjoy! In that situation there are words which theoretically can take 14 guesses to get right, though that involves a lot of very obscure words from the scrabble dictionary which most people would correctly assume are not in the wordle solution list. I think it has problems with the date line. There are 12972 words in their dictionary, but only 2309 are listed as answers. UG. Pooling all the available data from @wordlestats currently gives an average score of 4.23 but thats markedly biassed towards better performance. I agree that was a tough one but what was your first word? mywordlerank.com. Oh my GOD it was so frustrating trying to chase down this simple fact. In response to genius Jon, who I suppose solves Wordle daily in 1 or 2 tries, its not a matter of simply solving in 6 guesses, its what percentage of solves in 1,2,3,4,5,6 guesses. Having a leaderboard is pointless as its far too easy to cheat. Please do not announce the answer to todays puzzle. Enough of the excluded words are familiar to me that I think the chance of a correct first guess is actually less than 1/2315 and the chance of doing it twice in a row well under one in 5 million. Youve taken methamphetamine 128 days in a row. So here was yesterdays game colors for my first guess: black-green-yellow-black-green (it seems I cant copy/paste the color scheme here). I was ignorant as to what was happening and how the game stats worked. but could result in people abandoning any game where it would tale 4 or more to complete) My stats are 0 1 10 17 5 4. Since there is a large list of words accepted as guesses, but which are never going to be the answer, it seems likely that the wider your vocabulary, the more tries you are likely to take, on average, as you have more tries available in your mental locker. It was crass. 3 tries 17 UMBER-5 However, unofficial and relatively small-scale data crunching from Twitter shares of Wordle scores gives significant insight into the number of guesses typically required by players to successfully finish a Wordle challenge. The twitter stats are presumably rounded up so anyone getting it first time will make it appear like 1% even if its only one out of 300k. How to Play Wordle on iPhone or Android as an App, How to Play Wordle Multiplayer With Friends. Its easy to get a rough idea of how good someone is from the stats graph, but for more precision a mean score works well - what would you say is a par average score? I have played about 160 games ( hard mode actually smarter mode to use) and Ive only solved it on second try 6 times and thats only because of the luck of the draw ( first word choice LUCKY). (All of those are fair, but of course you dont have to believe me). Im not sure whether 4/6 letter wordle would be harder or easier the statistics of it is surprisingly complicated. Pooling all the data available on twitter @wordlestats shows that people overall are claiming just about 6% second guess solutions but given the presumed severe bias in favour of people posting their best results Im pretty sure that the chances of a second guess solution with varied starter words are a good deal less than 6%, and 10%, over a long run, is looking distinctly like an outlier. But, I found out today as I reached 199 correct out of 200 plays, that my regrettable 99% reached 99.5% (199200=.995) that Wordle rounds UP!!! Depending how many correct letters you guessed in the first word, your second might be skill or also mostly luck. I think tactics can influence your distribution of 3s 4s and 5s though. Related: What are the Average Number of Guesses in Wordle? My streak is only 71 because in the first month of play I didnt realize that I had to play every day to avoid breaking the streak. Maybe they offer a one-day forgiveness period? I played the Wordle on my phone on the mobile site and got the word in 3 or 4 tries. You just have to text your scores to their number and then it saves it and shows some analytics on it ( your average, how you stack up against others, etc), ._3K2ydhts9_ES4s9UpcXqBi{display:block;padding:0 16px;width:100%} Add up the total number of guesses and divide by the number of times you have played the game. Only Wordle can provide accurate stats. 7 is probably the most obvious approximation as I think most people who are not just choosing random words on every guess have probably got it narrowed down to one or two options by guess 5. The veggie was thus a no-brainer. N = Number of days solved vs. number of days played? 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